Sep 27, 2008

Empate

Qué momento.

De Dolores, más sobre un posible dolor de cabeza en el colegio electoral por los resultados de las elecciones, esta vez del WSJ:

There's a nontrivial chance -- in the ballpark of 1 in 100 -- that the presidential race will be decided in January not by the votes but instead by the incoming House of Representatives, because of an electoral tie.

That's one of the insights generated by election mathematicians who are crunching the numbers this election like never before. Political junkies can skip right past the nationwide polls and instead view the results of thousands of simulations of the election, run each day to reflect the latest statewide poll numbers. These show the probability that each candidate will win a majority of the Electoral College -- or deadlock at 269 apiece.

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