Apr 27, 2006

No va más

Friends and neighbors, let's party like it's 1999 o, para decirlo en castilla, a fifar que chocan los planetas. Se termina el petróleo, es el fin de la Civilización Occidental, y del homo sapiens ya que estamos:

Predictions of imminent catastrophic depletion are almost as old as the oil industry. An 1855 advertisement for Kier’s Rock Oil, a patent medicine whose key ingredient was petroleum bubbling up from salt wells near Pittsburgh, urged customers to buy soon before “this wonderful product is depleted from Nature’s laboratory.” The ad appeared four years before Pennsylvania’s first oil well was drilled. In 1919 David White of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) predicted that world oil production would peak in nine years. And in 1943 the Standard Oil geologist Wallace Pratt calculated that the world would ultimately produce 600 billion barrels of oil. (In fact, more than 1 trillion barrels of oil had been pumped by 2006.)

During the 1970s, the Club of Rome report The Limits to Growth projected that, assuming consumption remained flat, all known oil reserves would be entirely consumed in just 31 years. With exponential growth in consumption, it added, all the known oil reserves would be consumed in 20 years. These dour predictions gained credibility when the Arab oil crisis of 1973 quadrupled prices from $3 to $12 per barrel (from $16 to $48 in 2006 dollars) and when the Iranian oil crisis more than doubled oil prices from $14 per barrel in 1978 to $35 per barrel by 1981 (from $45 to $98 in 2006 dollars).

2 comments:

  1. Y pensar que al "Club de Roma" lo tenemos ahora reloaded en Argentina.
    Será que como decia Tato nos vamos a extinguir y ya nadie nos podrá comprender nunca mas?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Me olvidé de pegar un link que me resultó muy ilustrativo de este tipo de pensamiento retrogrado.
    http://sp.rian.ru/onlinenews/20060418/46550425.html

    ReplyDelete

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