Elecciones en EEUU

Hay quienes dicen que los demócratas van a arrasar en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias de EEUU, logrando el control de la cámara de representantes. Aparentemente el principal motivo para el voto castigo hacia los republicanos sería la guerra de Irak. Pero, ¿será tan así? Este autor sostiene que los candidatos demócratas no tienen una postura demasiado diferente de los republicanos sobre este tema:

Call it chronic suspicion of the conventional wisdom, or even petulant contrariness. Still, the rush to declare that the Democrats will rampage to control of Congress in two weeks seems a little shaky. There are too many uncertainties for anybody to accept uncritically predictions of 20-seat Democratic gains in the House and perhaps control of the Senate.

The biggest? If the midterm is a referendum on the Iraq war—and that is what the polls say—voting Democratic is not exactly an anti-war vote. In particular, Democratic House candidates are not within striking distance of GOP candidates on the strength of anti-war campaigns.

Writing in Counterpunch, John Walsh claims the "fix is already in." By that he means that Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chief Rahm Emanuel has hand-picked a slate of pro-war Democrats to take on the most vulnerable House Republicans. Walsh claims that many Democratic candidates who are presumably headed for victory hold a position on the Iraq war that "is indistinguishable from that of George W. Bush."