Nov 2, 2006

Irán

Ted Galen Carpenter del Cato se pregunta qué se puede hacer antes de que Irán obtenga armamento nuclear. Su propuesta es seguir negociando, hacerles una propuesta que no puedan rechazar. No me parece mal, pero espero que al mismo tiempo sigan trabajando en un plan B:

Few Americans want Iran to get nuclear weapons, but as European Union leader Javier Solana conceded, the European-led negotiations to stop it are going nowhere fast. Unless there is an unexpected breakthrough -- and soon -- our leaders face a set of highly imperfect options. The best by far is to try to strike a grand bargain with Iran.

Washington should offer to normalize diplomatic and economic relations with Iran, and pledge to refrain from efforts at forcible regime change. In exchange, Tehran would be expected to open its nuclear program to rigorous, on-demand international inspections to guarantee that no nuclear material was diverted from peaceful purposes.

We have little to lose by proposing a deal -- unless we let negotiations drag on endlessly. Making an offer to Tehran and indicating that it would remain on the table for a maximum of six months would have no significant downside. If the Iranians rejected the proposal -- or if they simply stalled -- all other options would still be available. If they accepted the agreement, we would have a reliable way to prevent Iran from joining the ranks of the nuclear-weapons powers.

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