Dec 23, 2012

Summer's here, and the time is right...

... for looting in the streets.

It's going to be a loooong summer.
Ambient Temperature and the Occurrence of Collective Violence: A New AnalysisJ. Merrill Carlsmith and Craig A. Anderson
Stanford University
Abstract : Prevalent folklore suggests that riots tend to occur during periods of very hot weather. Baron and Ransberger examined 102 major riots in the United States between 1967 and 1971 and concluded that the frequency of collective violence and ambient temperature are curvilinearly related. The present article points out that the Baron and Ransberger analysis did not take account of the different number of days in different temperature ranges. The artifact is eliminated, and the probability of a riot, conditional upon temperature, is estimated. When this is done, the evidence strongly suggests that the conditional probability of a riot increases monotonically with temperature. Some general implications of such data analyses are discussed.
Googléen "correlation between riots and hot weather" para ponerse mas nerviosos ...


  1. Googleamésta: Correlación entre alta temperatura, cortes de luz y disturbios.

  2. Sin conocer ningún estudio le decía esto a Louis en otro comentario. El calor es un factor, seguro. Esto no pasa en invierno porque no se bancan la espera previa.

  3. el primer cacerolazo de De la Rua se hizo el 20/D en una noche muy agradable.


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