Oct 31, 2006

Francia

Creo que nadie puede negar que Francia tiene serios problemas. No sé si vienen siguiendo desde hace algunas semanas los ataques de jóvenes musulmanes en las calles de algunas ciudades francesas, con incendios de vehículos y enfrentamientos con la policía. Hay quienes creen que la decadencia francesa es inevitable.

Me pareció muy interesante este informe en The Economist. El autor compara la situación del Reino Unido a fines de los 70 con la de Francia en la actualidad y sostiene que no hay nada de inevitable en esa situación. Sólo hace falta voluntad política:

The 1970s were Britain's decade of self-doubt, not so unlike the first decade of the 21st century is turning out to be for France. The country was paralyzed by a sense of terminal decline. The mainstream left was beholden to its militants, union friends and class warriors. Politicians were preoccupied by the distribution of wealth, not its creation. Strikes were as crippling as taxes. Industrial jobs were going to lower-cost countries and academic brains to America. Britain was uncomfortable about its place in the world.

Now it is France's turn. The country is gripped by a belief in its own decline. It sees itself as a victim of globalisation, regarding markets as a threat and profits as suspicious. It has a short working week, militant unions and high unemployment. The opposition Socialist Party, in its official programme for next spring's presidential and parliamentary elections, pledges to renationalise the electricity utility, raise the minimum wage, enforce the 35-hour week more vigorously and reverse tax cuts.

Moreover, the creed of anti-liberalism and anti-globalization is shared by both left and right. The centre-right government of Dominique de Villepin is irredeemably protectionist, fending off foreign predators at every turn. The president, Jacques Chirac, a Gaullist descendant, has called liberalism a greater menace for Europe than communism. France is troubled by its diminished voice in the world and fretful about immigration at home. Fear of change is pervasive.

3 comments:

  1. Utilizan la palabra "inevitable" como si aun no hubiera ocurrido.
    Los franchutes se cayeron hace rato.Ahora estan colgados de la ultima rama antes de romperse la cabezota (llena de champagne y camembert) contra el piso.

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  2. Yo creo que tienen serios problemas. Pero el principal es la incapacidad de hacer frente al cambio. Ya veremos si reaccionan a tiempo.

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  3. Luis, el artículo de "The Economist" habla de Francia, pero me hace acordar tanto a un cierto país del Cono Sur. Digo esto porque la situación actual de ese país sudamericano en lo que hace a huelgas y estancamiento (porque en realidad lo que ahora existe es "recuperación", no crecimiento genuino) económico me hace acordar a la Gran Bretaña pre-Thatcher.

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