¿Cuáles son los países de Latinoamérica que seguramente resultarán más afectados por la crisis financiera internacional? Los que fueron más hostiles al capitalismo global:
If lower commodity prices lead to lower costs of staple foods, this would provide Argentinians with some relief against their country’s rampaging inflation. But for President Cristina Fernández’s government it would be a different story. It gets 10% of its revenue from export taxes. A fall in commodity prices would squeeze farmers (who already pay a 35% tax on exports) even more and might reignite their recent protests. Ms Fernández might be tempted to make up the shortfall by raiding pension funds. There is also a currency concern. The peso, which has won back trust after its crash in 2001, is backed by high soyabean prices. If these fall, it could lead to a fresh flight to dollars for those able to get them, and misery for everyone else.
Argentina entra esa categoría de países de "peor, imposible". A no preocuparse tanto.
ReplyDeleteen realidad, lo que va a ocurrir es que tarde o temprano el precio de los commodities rebotará - a pesar de la crisis - debido a que la demanda mundial de alimentos seguirá creciendo en Asia y a un aumento ficticio en dólares y euros debido al "debasement" de ambas monedas. Lo que más bronca dá es que la pelotuda de Kristina no es capaz de coordinar con el Brasil un programa para al menos amortigüar el golpe inevitable de la crisis ya que el crédito se congelará.
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