Feb 13, 2008

Oh-Obama

Excelente análisis en la editorial del WSJ:
We aren't counting the Clintons out. They are tenacious, and they are right
when they complain that the Illinois flash has lived a charmed campaign life,
with little scrutiny and almost no negative press. Senator Clinton also still
does well among Democrats who didn't attend college and aren't well-to-do, as
well as with older voters who can recall other stars who lit up the sky only to
burn out. Her problem is that the positions that John McCain will be able to
exploit in the fall -- on security (
see here) and taxes -- may not matter among liberal Democrats who dominate primaries. Still, we expect she has a few more punches to throw.
As for John McCain, his victories in Maryland and Virginia should persuade Mike
Huckabee to give up his campaign, lest it seem a vanity project. The Virginia
GOP electorate was even more conservative this year than in 2000, yet Mr. McCain still won. The talk show hosts and other anti-McCain conservatives will lose their hostility as their commercial interests begin to require it. Their
Newsweek minute is up.
The votes that Mr. McCain should really be worrying about, and preparing for, are those being cast for Mr. Obama. If he does go on to defeat Mrs. Clinton, Mr. Obama will only become more of a legend and more of a media favorite. The Republican won't be able to win in November with the kind of trench-warfare, turnout fight that might work against the Clintons. He's going to need his own reform agenda, one that competes for the "change" mantle and is about the future more than the past.

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